Aumann's agreement theorem
#game_theory
Theorem (Aumann, 1976)
Let be an Aumann model of incomplete information with beliefs, and suppose (i.e. 2 players). Let be an event and let be a state of the world. If the event "Player I ascribes probability to " is common knowledge in , and the event "Player II ascribes probability to " is also common knowledge in , then .
References
- M. Maschler, E. Solan, and Shmuel Zamir, Game Theory, Cambridge University Press, 2013, p. 339.
- Robert J. Aumann, The Annals of Statistics, Vol. 4, No. 6 (Nov., 1976), pp. 1236-1239. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2958591
- https://www.princeton.edu/~bayesway/Dick.tex.pdf
- https://blogs.cornell.edu/info2040/2014/10/30/information-cascades-and-aumanns-agreement-theorem/
- https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/aumann-s-agreement-theorem
- https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=2410